Of Odds and Men
There is a 1-in-3,200 chance that parts of a 20-year-old 6 and a half ton bus-sized NASA satellite could hit a person sometime this week. To put that into perspective, that’s one fan in a packed house at the Roseland Ballroom, which has a standing capacity of 3,200 people. You feeling lucky, Deadmau5 fans?
The analogy they use is very misleading. More accurately, it’s like being the only person in Roseland Ballroom which has room for you stand in 3200 different spots, or a .003% chance. Of course, saying there’s a 99.997% chance that nothing happens doesn’t make for an interesting headline.